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States and Local Governments Face Tough Policy Decisions Due to Long-term Fiscal Gap, GAO Reports

April 20, 2011

The U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) released their annual State and Local Governments' Fiscal Outlook and long-term projections paint a bleak picture. Even though both state and local government near-term fiscal outlooks have improved slightly since 2010, these sectors face long-term revenue declines that will necessitate "substantial policy changes" to stimulate revenue growth. According to the report, without policy changes, governments will face an increasing fiscal gap between receipts and expenditures in the coming years that would force across-the-board programmatic cuts. The primary long-term driver of fiscal challenges is the increasing costs of health-related costs. Based upon current and historical spending and revenue patterns, GAO's model projects the receipts and the expenditures for each sector until 2060. Since 2007, GAO has published long-term fiscal simulations for both the state and local sectors using National Income and Product Accounts data collected by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Read the report...

state budget, state revenue, benchmarking report