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Will Services be the New Engine of Economic Growth in India?

This paper revisits the role of manufacturing and services in economic development in the light of the following new facts: (a) a faster growth of services than that of manufacturing in many developing countries (DCs). (b) The emergence of Òde-industrialisationÓ in several DCs at low levels of per capita income. (c) Jobless growth in the formal sector even in fast growing countries such as India and (d) a large expansion of the informal sector in both fast growing and slow growing DCs.

External Contradictions of the Chinese Development Model: Why China Must Abandon Export-led Growth or Risk a Global Economic Contraction

This paper offers an alternative interpretation of China’s development model. Like the conventional story described above, it too argues that the current model is unsustainable. However, it is not the “domestic” consequences of over-investment and excessive growth that are the reasons. Instead, the reason is China’s “external” impact on the global economy, which threatens to trigger a world recession that will rebound and embrace China.

Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction: Measurement and Policy Issues

The aim of this Working Paper is to broaden the debate on “pro-poor growth”. An exclusive focus on the income dimension of poverty has neglected the non-income dimensions. After an examination of prominent views on the linkages between economic growth, inequality, and poverty reduction this paper discusses the proper definition and measurement of pro-poor growth.

New England-China Relationship in 2005

This essay provides an overview of current trade patterns between New England and China. It was prepared for a symposium sponsored by The Boston Athenaeum comparing New England’s present-day trade with China to the region’s prominence in the U.S.-China trade of the 19th century. The essay concludes that a special trade relationship between New England and China does not exist at the present time.

Central Banks as Agents of Economic Development

Throughout the early and recent history of central banking in the U.S., England, Europe, and elsewhere, financing governments, managing exchange rates, and supporting economic sectors by using “direct methods” of intervention have been among the most important tasks of central banking and, indeed, in many cases, were among the reasons for their existence, according to the author.

Quantitative, Non-Experimental Approaches to the Microeconomic Evaluation of Public Policy Measures - A Survey

The objective of evaluating public policy measures is to assess its implications and thus to obtain a measure for weather the respective program has been successful. In this paper, the author considers and classifies microeconomic and microeconometric approaches to measuring this success. To do so, the evaluation problem is outlined and three estimation priciples are presented.