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Geography, Health, and Demo-Economic Development

This paper investigates the interactive impact of subsistence consumption and child mortality on fertility choice and child expenditure. In a macro-economic framework it proposes an indirect channel of geography’s influence on economic performance. It explains why it are the world’s unfavorably located regions where we observe exceedingly slow (if not stalled) economic development and demographic transition.

Simulating the Prospects of Technological Catching Up

Local increasing returns associated with static and dynamic scale effects, knowledge spillovers, polarisation effects and the distance that separates different regions are among the most important driving forces behind the dynamics of economic and technological convergence. This paper puts forward a computational simulation model that seeks to integrate these factors.

Inside the Black Box of ‘Industrial Atmosphere’: Knowledge and Information Networks in an Italian Wine Local System

A well-grounded empirical and theoretical literature shows that local production systems can benefit from external economies generated by a shared ‘industrial atmosphere. This paper aims at contributing to this field of studies by entering into the black box of the ‘industrial atmosphere’ reconstructing the informal contacts underpinning collective learning in a local production system. The study is based on empirical evidence collected at firm level in a an Italian wine local system and uses methods of network analysis.

New approach to the Research of GDP and Income Inequality based on the old and Enlarged EU with a Comparative analysis of the USA

the author presents an original approach to the determination of the equilibrium trajectory of some dynamic processes in socio-economic systems and the level of inequality for such structures. A graphical presentation of the examples and comparative analysis with the data on all the U.S. states also is provided.

End of Large Current Account Deficits, 1970-2002: Are There Lessons for the United States?

The author analyzes the international evidence on current account reversals using both non-parametric techniques as well as panel regressions. The results from this empirical investigation indicate that major current account reversals have tended to result in large declines in GDP growth.

How Accurate are the Swedish Forecasters on GDP-Growth, CPI-Inflation and Unemployment?

This study evaluates the performance of the eight most important Swedish domestic forecasters of real GDP-growth, CPI-inflation and unemployment for the sample period 1993-2001. The evaluation is based on the following measures: mean absolute error, the root mean square error, bias and finally directional accuracy.